Party Competition and Responsible Party Government: A Theory of Spatial Competition Based Upon Insights from Behavioral Voting Research by Adams James

Author:Adams, James
Language: eng
Format: epub
Publisher: The University of Michigan Press

6.2 A Model of Probabilistic Choice for Partisan Voters

A major justification for exploring the implications of the partisan vote model introduced in chapter 2 is that this model captures a central finding from behavioral research, that voter partisanship influences the vote. However, behavioralists also find that they cannot predict survey respondents’ vote intentions with certainty from policy preferences and partisanship alone, nor can they perfectly anticipate the vote from any combination of voter attributes, including sociodemographic characteristics, retrospective evaluations of incumbent performance, and so on. To incorporate this uncertainty, I modify equation 2.2 to incorporate a random component, μi, which is conceptually equivalent to the random term that behavioralists employ for voting analyses based upon maximum likelihood estimation models such as logit and probit:

Download

Copyright Disclaimer:
This site does not store any files on its server. We only index and link to content provided by other sites. Please contact the content providers to delete copyright contents if any and email us, we'll remove relevant links or contents immediately.